Markets

Browse open event contracts. Each price is the market's live probability of the event.

EventProbabilityCost / $124h volumeExpires

Cat 3+ hurricane landfall - Miami-DadeSustained wind >= 111 mph at NWS Miami - by Nov 30, 202812%$0.12$4.2MNov 30, 2028Get cover

Thames flood - Reading gauge breachRiver height >= 4.2 m at Reading - by Mar 31, 202827%$0.27$1.1MMar 31, 2028Get cover

Hard frost - Central Valley citrus3 nights below -2C, Fresno CA - by Feb 28, 202844%$0.44$2.8MFeb 28, 2028Get cover

Monsoon shortfall - MaharashtraSeasonal rainfall below 75% of normal - by Sep 30, 202831%$0.31$960KSep 30, 2028Get cover

Typhoon signal No.8 - Hong KongHKO raises signal >= 8 before October - by Oct 31, 202858%$0.58$3.4MOct 31, 2028Get cover

London heatwave - 5 days >= 32CHeathrow, consecutive days - by Aug 31, 202819%$0.19$1.7MAug 31, 2028Get cover